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Date: Tue, 7 Mar 1995 21:34:12 +0100
To: hol@hungary.yak.net
From: carlson@odin.net (Steven Carlson)
Subject: (HOL) INNOVATION, 6 March 1995
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Reply-To: HOL@hungary.yak.net

I had my doubts, but this has turned into an amazing publication. It's not
free, but you can get a trial subscription. Check the end of this post for
details.

=steve=

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Because time and information are your most valuable assets, Innovation
offers a weekly summary of trends, strategies, and innovations in business
and technology, giving you an executive briefing on ideas for the future.
It is written by John Gehl and Suzanne Douglas.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

TRENDS
                        Technologies For Tomorrow
                        Advertise Everywhere -- Just Do It.
                        The Give And Take Of The Digital Age
                        The Next Wave In Computer Customer Complaints
                        Document Management Systems Put Life Into Paperwork
                        Food And Beverages In The Pink, In '95

STRATEGIES
                        Is The Message Really The Message?
                        Engineering Of Customer Experiences
                        Computerized Irrigation Spurs Vineyard Output
                        Strategic Decisions:  Find A Niche And Find A Home
                        Untangling  Technobabble

INNOVATIONS
                        Fast Boat Could Revolutionize Shipping Business
                        Rx For Sick Buildings
                        Sniffing Out Success ... With High-Tech Smelling
                        1994 Medical Advances
                        Parts Catalogs Come Alive ... As Chunks Of Software
                        Corn-Fed Taurus On The Way
                        The Ultimate Radar Scrambler


                        ***********TRENDS************

TECHNOLOGIES FOR TOMORROW
The next decade will bring computers that fit in your pocket, insulin pumps
that can be inserted in diabetics' bodies, and anti-aging creams that
really work, according to Battelle Technology Management Group.  The major
overall trend in all fields, from medicine to electronics, will be
miniaturization. Battelle's top ten for 2005 are:  (1) genome mapping --
enabling doctors to predict who will get what disease; (2) supermaterials
-- rugged, adaptable building materials for communications, energy,
transit; (3) compact energy sources -- powerful, long-lasting batteries and
fuel cells; (4) high-definition TV -- digital video for cinema-quality
viewing; (5) handheld electronic devices -- phone, fax and computer in the
palm of your hand; (6) smart manufacturing systems -- sensor-driven
assembly lines; (7) anti-aging products -- creams that really erase
wrinkles, genetic tinkering to slow aging; (8) targeted medical treatments
-- focused on the ailment only, reduced side effects; (9) hybrid fuel
vehicles -- lower emissions, better mileage, higher performance; (10)
edutainment -- educational games and computerized simulations for learning.
(Business Week 2/6/95 p.6)

ADVERTISE EVERYWHERE -- JUST DO IT.
In the film "The Horse's Mouth," the painter-hero played by Alec Guinness
couldn't see a blank wall without wanting to fill it up with paint.
Advertisers tend to feel the same way, which explains why MacDonald's
Corporation struck a $5.5 million deal with Georgia Institute of Technology
to put its logo on the floor of Georgia Tech's basketball coliseum, on the
exterior of the building, and on tickets and promotional materials.
Georgia Tech is a unit of the state of Georgia's university system, and the
state's attorney general has nixed the deal, saying it violates the state
constitution.  (Atlanta Constitution 3/3/95 A1)  However, the trend toward
"advertising everywhere" will no doubt continue, and cultural critic Tom
Vanderbilt complains of "the advertised life" and quotes with disdain an
advertising executive who looks forward to an interactive future in which
"programming and advertising become interchangeable, as consumers are
living in a perpetual marketing event."  (Baffler No.6 p.145)

THE GIVE AND TAKE OF THE DIGITAL AGE
The Economist (Feb. 11) reports that although the technology revolution has
resulted in some workers losing their jobs to machines, the overall balance
sheet is favorable, with more jobs being created than lost.  Most at risk
are telephone operators, postal workers, bank tellers and other workers
performing repetitive tasks that can be easily automated.  But the new
high-tech, knowledge-based industries are creating more jobs, and at the
same time these high-tech workers are creating demands for other kinds of
workers -- jobs such as gardening, cooking and childcare will experience
strong growth in the near future.  (Investor's Business Daily 2/28/95 A4)

THE NEXT WAVE IN COMPUTER CUSTOMER COMPLAINTS
As home computer users who bought their machines years ago begin to upgrade
to multimedia-capable power and memory, look for a new tidal wave of
customer complaints when things go wrong.  "The problem will get worse over
the next few months as users start trying to do new things with their
computers, like install new software or upgrade the hardware," says an
expert on software support at Dataquest.  In the past year, calls to third
party computer support lines have doubled, as high-tech gadgetry has far
outstripped the technical competence of the average user.  The complaint
overload is having an effect on the folks at the other end of the line,
too: "Some groups have installed punching bags so their techs can go smack
the hell out of it," says a customer support consultant.  (Forbes 3/13/95
p.101)

DOCUMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS PUT LIFE INTO PAPERWORK
 The trend toward paperless office systems got bogged down by paperwork and
seemed headed for the shredder, but a new surge of systems activity focuses
less on eliminating paper than on animating the work the document deals
with (e.g., by supplying the processes necessary to complete an insurance
claim to be programmed into the document itself).   New "document
management systems" not only feature storage and retrieval capabilities but
also processing capabilities, so that workflow and document management are
integrated.  As a result, documents become instruments of action rather
than mere reports on what has taken place.  This new way of thinking about
what a document is has emerged from disciplines such as business process
reengineering and workflow automation.  (Financial Times Review 3/1/95 p.4)


FOOD AND BEVERAGES IN THE PINK, IN '95
The National Food Processors Association predicts one of this year's
hottest trends will be pink food and beverages. (Remember blue last year?)
Get set for a run on guava puree, which food processors will use to add
rosy color and a tropical flavor to juices, yogurt drinks and other
beverages. (Investor's Business Daily 3/3/95 A3)


                        *********STRATEGIES**********

IS THE MESSAGE REALLY THE MESSAGE?
Nicholas Negroponte's new book, "Being Digital," says, "Computing isn't
about computing anymore; it's about living."  Declaring the age of Marshall
McLuhan past, Negroponte asserts, "The medium is not the message in a
digital world."  Rather, "the message is the message," and the job at hand
is how to decode it from its many media forms.  But the growing popularity
of online services seems to contradict this viewpoint, says Mark Stahlman,
the president of New Media Associates:  "The medium (online service) is the
message and the audience (the subscriber) is the content."  As America
Online's CEO is fond of saying, "Our business is to package our subscribers
and sell them back to themselves."  Stahlman's conclusion:  "New media
requires fundamentally new notions about what it means to be human in a
digital age."  (Information Week 3/6/95 p.73)

ENGINEERING OF CUSTOMER EXPERIENCES
It was a successful operation, but the patient died; it was a great
product, but the customer won't ever buy it again ... because the company
had done nothing to engineer the customer's actual experience.  Two of the
geniuses of "experience engineering" were Walt Disney and Ray Kroc.  Disney
theme parks use frequently painted sidewalks to give high-maintenance and
cleanliness clues;  post ride "wait" times that are regularly bettered in
practice;  and play visual architectural tricks to give visitors the
illusion of an endless array of attractions when they arrive at the park
yet the promise of a quick exit when they are ready to go home.
MacDonald's was conceived as a place that sells customer experiences rather
than just hamburgers;  founder Ray Kroc made the kitchen visible to
customers to impress them with its cleanliness and entertain them with the
choreography of the employees.  The goal of customer experience engineering
is to identify and analyze subtle "performance clues" that signal customer
acceptance or rejection.  For example, a nursing home that received poor
ratings for cleanliness because of disinfectant odors ("it must be dirty to
require disinfectant"), improved its evaluation only when a neutral scent
was used; a pleasant scent was just as bad as the disinfectant smell
because it was interpreted as a "cover-up" clue.  (Marketing Management
v.3, n.3 p.9)

COMPUTERIZED IRRIGATION SPURS VINEYARD OUTPUT
A new technology developed by Australian cotton growers takes the guesswork
out of irrigating vineyards -- a process that is largely trial-and-error,
with emphasis on the latter, according to one winemaker.  The problem is,
it's difficult for grape growers to determine the optimal amount of water
for their crops until they've already gone too far.  The Australians have
developed computerized "neutron probes," which are stuck in the ground at
regular intervals and measure hydrogen atoms.  Since water is the only
source of hydrogen in soil, the atom count is a pretty good measurement of
water content.  The data then goes to a computer, which calculates an
irrigation schedule for that location.  "Our vines are like thirsty men
crawling in the desert.  We want them to have enough water to stay alive,
but not enough to stop and open a casino," says the VP of Cakebread
Cellars. (Investor's Business Daily 2/28/95 A8)

STRATEGIC DECISIONS:  FIND A NICHE AND FIND A HOME
 Belgian-born software company TechGnosis found its niche in "middleware"
that allows different kinds of computer systems (e.g., PC, Mac, Unix or
mainframe) to talk with each other, a goal that's especially important for
corporations that are the products of mergers with other companies.  But
TechGnosis resettled in the U.S. after finding the European market
inhospitable because of the different languages, currencies, forms of
marketing and advertising.  TechGnosis's CEO says: "If I have a market in
the U.S., I have 200 to 250 million guys all speaking the same language,
all paying in dollars, and all reading the same magazines.  The natural hub
of the industry is the United States.  Whether the Japanese or the
Europeans like to hear this or not, it's the truth."  (Wall Street Journal
3/3/95 A5D)

UNTANGLING  TECHNOBABBLE
If you're drowning in alphabet soup, puzzling over acronyms such as ATM,
ISDN, PBX, SMDS, and T-1s, take heart.  Now there's "Newton's Telecom
Dictionary" -- a 1,000-page-plus tome that provides down-to-earth
definitions for thousands of terms in telecommunications and related fields
such as computer networking.  The resource book is priced at $24.95.  For
more information, call 800-542-7279.  (Inc. Feb.'95 p.120)


                        **********INNOVATIONS********

FAST BOAT COULD REVOLUTIONIZE SHIPPING BUSINESS
High-priced or time-sensitive goods (autos, computers, medical supplies,
perishable goods, etc.) could be moved across the Atlantic in less than
four days (half the time it takes current freighters) using superfast cargo
ships built by American investors from designs purchased from a British
marine engineering firm.  The design, which uses "semi-planing monohull
technology," causing the vessel to be lifted from the rear, has previously
been used on yachts and ferries, but never on cargo ships.  The investors
hope they can do for the ocean cargo business what FedEx did for the
package shipping business.  (Washington Times Weekly 2/27-3/5/95 p.13)

Rx FOR SICK BUILDINGS
Poor ventilation and bacteria build-up in air ducts have resulted in an
epidemic of sick buildings.  Up until now, the only known remedy has been
ripping out and replacing the entire ventilation system, something building
owners are reluctant to do.  But now a University of Florida engineering
professor has developed a simple, inexpensive cure: a system that forces
air in the ventilation system through a filter coated with titanium dioxide
-- a common chemical power used in toothpaste -- and then zaps it with
ultraviolet light.  The process breaks down all volatile organic compounds
in the air and kills bacteria in the ductwork.  The system is easily
installed in existing ducts, or incorporated into new construction.
(Business Week 3/6/95 p.58)

SNIFFING OUT SUCCESS ... WITH HIGH-TECH SMELLING
Electronic noses are invading industry, helping researchers at GM to
pinpoint the "new car" smell that buyers love, and replacing human armpit
sniffers in deodorant testing.  IBM is working on a "nose on a chip" that
could be incorporated into its computers.  The machines use certain
polymers that act as spongy sensors, absorbing vapors and comparing them
with a "scent" database.  Per machine prices are still high -- about
$50,000 -- but as sales volume rises, costs will come down.  Future
applications include medicine -- breath analysis over the phone to detect
diabetes, liver and kidney ailments; food production -- to sniff out any
bad ingredients before they go into the mix; quality control -- the U.S.
Food and Drug Administration uses a high-tech smeller for inspecting and
grading fish at the dock. (Wall Street Journal 3/1/95 B1)

1994 MEDICAL ADVANCES
Harvard Medical School's Health Letter says that 1994's most important
medical advance was the isolation of thrombopoietin, the gene for the
hormone that induces bone marrow cells to mature and fragment into
platelets (which are essential for clotting).  Genetically engineered
thrombopoietin would be a boon to cancer patients and other individuals at
risk for life-threatening bleeding due to low platelet count.  Another
finding with major long-range implications for human health:  the discovery
that nearly everyone who has ever had a heart attack or stroke, or suffers
from angina, or has undergone coronary artery bypass surgery, should take
one-half to one aspirin tablet daily unless he or she is allergic to the
drug.  (Harvard Health Letter March 1995 p.1)

PARTS CATALOGS COME ALIVE ... AS CHUNKS OF SOFTWARE
It may signal the end of printed parts catalogs for architects, engineers
and even consumers. Autodesk, a leader in software for computer aided
design, has 2.5 million designers who use its AutoCad program, and most of
them must specify parts from other manufacturers that will be used in the
products they are designing.  Now, in a significant diversification move,
the company will begin publishing digital drawings of those parts as chunks
of software that can be incorporated by design professionals as buildings
blocks for their own designs.  These software building blocks could
represent such things as windows, appliances, wallpaper, furniture, etc.,
all of which could be easily changed in size or color.  (Wall Street
Journal 3/3/95 B6)

CORN-FED TAURUS ON THE WAY
Ford Motor Co. will put an ethanol-powered Taurus on the road early next
year, becoming the first U.S. automaker to produce an ethanol vehicle
specifically for widespread operation.  The Taurus will run on E-85 fuel
(85% ethanol and 15% gasoline) but can use unleaded gasoline if ethanol
isn't available.  (Miami Herald 2/28/95 C1)

THE ULTIMATE RADAR SCRAMBLER
The Mirage 2000 is a legal passive radar scrambler that operates by
changing the radar gun's Doppler wave pattern from smooth and regular to
erratic and unpredictable.  The overstimulated machine then produces a
display that's either totally inaccurate or blank.  (Wired March '95 p.59)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

(C)  Innovation is copyrighted, 1995, by NewsScan, Inc., all rights reserved;
-- however, please feel free to forward sample copies to your friends!

Innovation is published weekly, with individual subscriptions available at
$15 a year. Site licenses are also available.

For a trial copy of Innovation, type the word "subscribe" in the body (not
subject!) of a message to: innovation-request@NewsScan.com

To pay by VISA, Mastercard, Discover or American Express, send us your name,
card number, and expiration date.  To pay by check, simply make your check
payable to NewsScan, Inc. (and print your e-mail address on the check).
International subscribers should pay in U.S. funds by credit card,
international money order, or check drawn on a U.S. bank.

Our address is:   NewsScan, Inc., P.O. Box 15010, Atlanta, GA. 30333-0010

To reach us:   Comments@NewsScan.com, 404-371-1853 (voice), or 404-371-8057
(fax). We appreciate your interest and support and would like to hear from
you.
                                     --  John Gehl & Suzanne Douglas
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

---
Steven Carlson                          Moderator/Publisher - hungary-online
Critical Mass Media Inc.                        Internet trainer, consultant
[+361] 133-4647                                         in Budapest, Hungary
carlson@odin.net
                    



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