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  The Hungary Report

  Direct from Budapest, every week

  Also available on the World Wide Web
  (http://www.isys.hu/hrep/)

  No. 1.31, December 11, 1995
  =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D


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  CONTENTS

    BRIEFS

    Budapest hosts OSCE conference
    Stakes in eight electricity companies sold
    Hungary's IFOR participation brings it closer to NATO
    First U.S. GI's arrive to Kaposvar
    Foreign land purchases to become easier
    Bokros optimistic about IMF visit
    Oilgate plagues Socialists

    NUMBERS CRUNCHED

    1995 Polish-Hungarian trade
    Fans of the Communist regime
    Homeless in Hungary's capital
    Budapest pickpockets
    November unemployment rates
    Wired Hungarian homes

    FEATURE STORY

    Hitting the black market-Rambo style

    PARLIAMENT WATCH

    Still waiting for that Media Bill

    MAGYAR NET WATCH

    Sorry, no Magyar Net Watch this week.

    NOTE TO READERS

    Hungary Report goes on winter holiday!


  The Hungary Report is also supported in part by:

  MTI-, a daily English-language financial news service. For on-line
  (fee-based) subscription information, contact the Internet address:
  <->. (It's not automated -- write a nice note.)

  =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D
  BRIEFS

  By Jennifer C. Brown
  Copyright (c) 1995

  ------------
  GENERAL NEWS

  Hungary hosts OSCE conference

  Budapest hosted foreign ministers from 52 members of the Organization
  for Security in Cooperation in Europe conference last week to discuss
  the Bosnian peace agreement.  The OSCE will participate by monitoring
  human rights, including elections in Bosnia. The meeting was
  considered a test for the future role of the OSCE in European
  security, the Budapest Sun quoted Istvan Szabo, deputy head of
  Hungary's OSCE office.

  This is the second in a row that Hungary has served as a
  chairman-in-office for the OSCE. Government leaders hope Hungary's
  leadership role will help the country in its efforts to gain
  membership in Western institutions.

  OSCE ethnic minority commissioner Max van der Stoel also visited
  Budapest last week to investigate issues facing Hungarian minorities
  in Slovakia, Romania and Serbia. Following talks with Csaba Tabajdi,
  state secretary at the Prime Minister's Office, van der Stoel
  announced that he would meet with Slovak government officials in
  Bratislava to discuss legislation effecting ethnic minorities,
  including the language law. Tabajdi asked the high commissioner to
  push for a minority language law that is less discriminatory but
  could exist side by side with the Slovak language law.


  ---------------------
  BUSINESS & ECONOMICS

  Electricity companies in private hands

  Electricity privatization deals completed ahead of schedule last week
  brought US$ 130 billion into state coffers, over half the overall
  income expected from privatization this year, Nepszabadsag reports.

  The German consortium RWE and Energie-Versorgung Schwaben purchased
  38% of the Matra Heating Power Plant. A 49% share of the Dunamenti
  power plant was purchased by Powerfin, a subsidiary of Belgiun's
  Tractebel. A 46% share in Budapest Elmu and a 49% stake in the north
  Hungarian distributor Emasz Rt were purchased by Germany's
  RWE-Schwaben. Isar-Amperwerk bought 49% of Eastern Hungary's Titasz
  and Bayernwerk won 47% of Dedasz in southern Hungary.

  The Budapest Business Journal reports that the sales weren't without
  glitches. A sole bid for 24% of the Hungarian Electricity Works (MVM)
  by EDF, Bayernwerk and AeroTessin was rejected by the government
  because the portfolio contained the Paks Nuclear Power Plant.
  Investors are reportedly waiting to purchase Paks separately. Out of
  14 companies, six did not sell assets worth an additional US$ 425
  million. Due to the hurried process, in which APV Rt evaluators had
  five days to evaluate 25 bids, there were doubts that the sale would
  take place last week.

  ------------
  SHORT TAKES

  HUNGARY STEPPED CLOSER TO NATO last week after signing an agreement
  that grants Nato troops permission to use Hungary as a transit
  country and as a site of a logistics and supply base, the Budapest
  Sun reports. The agreement was signed between Foreign Minister Laszlo
  Kovacs and Nato acting secretary-general Sergio Balanzino in
  Brussels. The agreement also covers Hungary's contribution of 500
  Hungarian technical troops to the implementation force (IFOR). Nato
  also wants Hungary to send troops to participate in the peacekeeping
  forces but government leaders say if Hungarian troops take a
  combative role, the safety of 300,000 ethnic Hungarians in Serbia's
  Voivodina region could be endangered.

  KAPOSVAR HAS RECEIVED THE FIRST WAVE OF U.S.SOLDIERS, reports  the
  Budapest Week. Some 25 logistics crew arrived last Monday and some
  100 reporters were at Tazar air base Saturday to greet 115 soldiers
  arriving by plane. The soldiers will remain to staff the logistics
  base, while the 3,000 troops continuing on to Bosnia are expected to
  arrive by mid-December. Present at the airbase were ambassador Donald
  M. Blinken and Col. Gen. Janos Deak, commander of the Hungarian Armed
  Forces.

  JANUARY WILL BRING NEW RULES ON FOREIGN-OWNED PROPERTY with the new
  foreign currency code. Any foreigner wishing to purchase real estate
  may do so as long as the property isn't farmland. Exceptions can be
  made in case of inherited property. The biggest change is that
  foreigners will have to go through the local administrative office to
  purchase land. Previously, foreign property transactions were handled
  by the Finance Ministry and the Finance Center.

  A DELEGATION FROM THE IMF VISITED BUDAPEST last week to discuss a
  long-awaited standby credit agreement. Even though the IMF has not
  granted a $300 million standby credit this year after months of
  talks, Finance Minister Lajos Bokros expressed confidence that
  Hungary's economic improvements would help speed along the negations.
  Meanwhile, Bokros said last week that the budget deficit for 1996
  will stay within 4% of the Gross Domestic Product in order to meet
  the IMF's prerequisite for the standby loan, reports the Budapest
  Week. The agreement is considered to be important for Hungary's
  international credibility.

  MINISTRY OF INDUSTRY AND TRADE IMRE DUNAI AND HIS PREDECESSOR Laszlo
  Pal denied allegations by opposition MP's that they helped family and
  affiliated party members win oil trade deals with the Russians, the
  Budapest Business Journal reports. Opposition MP's brought up
  examples of favoritism last week in Parliament, calling them
  "Oilgate". Following the allegations, Dunai fired chair of the
  Socialist's entrepreneurial group Otto Hujber. He partially owns an
  oil import company and also belongs to a committee that helps
  companies regain lost markets in Russia.

  ----------------
  NUMBERS CRUNCHED

  Value of bilateral trade between Hungary and Poland this year, up
  from US$ 145 million in 1994. (Polish Ministry of Industry and
  Trade): US$ 500 million

  Percentage of Hungarians who believe life was better under the
  Communist system. (The Budapest Week):  51%

  Number of homeless people estimated to be living in Budapest (Menhely
  Alapitvany):  12,000

  Pickpockets known to be operating in the capital (Nepszabadsag):
  2,200

  Unemployed registered in November, up 5,500 from October. (Magyar
  Hirlap):  485,000

  Percentage of homes that have telephones in Hungary, up from 10% in
  1990. (Matav): 25%

  --------------
  EXCHANGE RATE

  December 8, 1995 (National Bank of Hungary)

  US dollar - 138.32 (buying), 139.76 (selling)
  Deutschemark - 96.04 (buying), 96.78(selling)

  ---------------
  WACKY AS USUAL

  Tourists, watch your organs!

  Urban mythologists take note: Ever heard those weird stories about
  organ stealing in places like India and Guatemala? The latest tale
  from the sinister world of the lucrative organ trade comes from the
  Hungarian tabloid Blikk.

  The story, published last week, claimed that an Austrian tourist
  discovered that his kidney was missing eight days after he was
  abducted by two men. Allegedly, the surgery was performed by a
  professional and the man was found to be quite healthy after the
  operation.

  Magyar Hirlap reported that National Police Headquarters has issued a
  statement that the story was entirely false. Rather than run a
  correction, Blikk's editor Peter Toke said the paper would
  investigate the story further.

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  FEATURE STORY

  Hitting the black market-Rambo style

  By Emmanuelle Richard

  It's 5:30 on Friday morning in front of the Customs & Excise Budapest
  headquarters. Zolt=E0n Bencs puts on his "U.S Army" aviator sunglasses,
  checks the gun on his combat belt and shoots down deserted Jozsef
  Avenue in his 24-year-old blue Volkswagen Beetle. A few minutes
  later, he screetches to a halt on the other side of town, outside the
  Investigation Division. Bencs springs out of his car with a broad
  smile on his lips and greets the group of young, clean-cut officers:
  "Ready, guys?" Just another day of Rambo-style raids for the chief of
  the Customs & Excise's Action Group. Another day of fighting the
  black economy.

  Packed into civilian vehicles, the group's officers drive flat out
  through District XIII in the direction of a Chinese market, where
  merchants are allegedly selling illegally imported products. The 13
  male and the two female agents on the squad are aged 23-36. They all
  wear the same green combat uniform, each packs a gun, a mobile phone
  and an ingenious electric torch/club. "Nice toy, isn't?," jokes
  Bencs. This first mobile Action group, Bencs says, was set up in
  December 1994 by the Budapest division of Customs & Excise to put
  some muscle against illegal trading activities in Hungary. The
  members train intensively and constantly. "We have to be strong
  physically and mentally," says Bencs. Officers are also required to
  have the legislation that backs their activity memorized.

  "Now we must park near the market and wait for information," says
  Bencs, lighting up another cigarette. Two "plants" in civilian
  clothes are wandering in the market's delivery area and radio the
  details of several vans suspected to be crammed with contraband
  cigarettes. In their cars, the other Action Group members chew gum
  and chain-smoke, taking notes. After two hours of waiting, it's time
  to strike. The group's cars race to the market and discharge the
  running agents. Within seconds, a gruop of despairing Vietnamese is
  surrounded. Women among them burst into tears and protest. The
  group's officers frisk all the suspects. They find mobile phones and
  bundles of forint bills. And in the vans, a total of 16, 257 packets
  of Western cigarettes worth nearly HUF1.5 million, all without excise
  labels. The Vietnamese will have to pay an estimated HUF 1-1.5
  million fine, Bencs says. The cigarettes will be confiscated for
  destruction.

  Carrying out an average seven raids a week, the Action Group earns
  the Ministry of Finance a tidy sum of money. "In only three days of
  raids in June, we brought 129 actions, confiscated goods worth nearly
  HUF 4 million and handed out HUF 5 million in fines", says Bencs. He
  says raids in bars and shops, such as small ABCs, are the most
  dangerous. As they check licenses and excise labels (they can't
  arrest), officers are often threatened and sometimes assaulted. "We
  are psychologically tested and trained for keeping our self-control",
  says Bencs.

  For particularly dangerous jobs ,the group's members don helmets and
  bulletproof vests. They are trained to draw their weapons in 1.3
  second.Although group's methods appear effective, it has many
  critics. "All of this is very nice but it's still the tip of the
  iceberg," says Laszlo Gyory, general manager of Seagram Hungary and
  president of the Association of Spirit Importers, a group of 11
  companies that has declared war on the black market. With oil and
  tobacco, spirits are one of the most frequently smuggled goods into
  Hungary.
  "As soon as the contraband bottles are in the country, it's too
  late", states Gy=F6ry. He would rather see more controls at the border.
  "But as long as border guards are paid HUF 23, 000 a month, they
  remain an easy target for corruption.

  For a bribe that will feed a guard's family for months, Gyory says, a
  truck full of spirits can be recorded at the border as carrying
  mineral water. Gyory is also in favor of giving a bonuses to guards
  responsible for each seizure. For Bencs, however, reinforced controls
  are just impossible: "Checking a single truck in every detail at the
  border requires six to 10 hours", he says. He also appeared insulted
  by the mere mention of potential corruption. The Action Group's
  officers are not better paid than border guards, he notes,  "and
  nevertheless, they are not in the least corruptable. We are fanatics,
  we hate crime above all."

  Fanatics indeed. On the wall of Bencs's office is his credo, a quote
  by  American techno-thriller author Tom Clancy: "We are professional
  officers... We make less money than similarly talented people in
  civilian life, but we are rewarded by the fact that, occasionally, we
  can risk our lives."It all seems a bit overly dramatic, but Bencs
  insists his group holds the only effective answer to illegal trading.
  As the head of the Action Group, he belongs to a special operative
  commission set up in April. Under the supervision of Jozsef Bencze of
  the Prime minister's Office, the commission coordinates work with
  several authorities, including the National Police, the tax
  officials, Customs and Excise, border guards offciers and the Office
  for National Security.

  "The commission investigates concrete cases and makes recommendations
  to the governement on the basis of what it sees in the field," says
  Bencs. The commission has already seen to it that an additional 250
  agents are investigating white-collar crime. But; Bencs adds, the
  commission must still find new ways to fight the black market.
  Separate from the Action Group, the National Police's Economic
  Protection Department, set in 1993, also runs license checks in
  markets and shops. But unlike the Action Group, this police unit is
  allowed to check companies' accounts, tap their phones and even pay
  to get information. "We don't lack information," says Erno Kiss, head
  of the Economic Protection Department. "Tax-cheaters are often
  denounced by their neighbours", adds Kiss, who counts this as a
  positive sign of trust in the police, rather than note its ironic
  harking to Stalinist days past.

  Bencs's officers, on the other hand, tend to rely on personal
  networks for information. Bencs is not looking for new statutory
  powers, but more personnel. "If we could set up a three-shift system,
  we would earn the Ministry of Finance a minimum of HUF 500,000 a
  day", he says enthusistically.
  Additional staff, he adds,  would not be excessive, and would take a
  great burden off Bencs and his officers. They happen to be on raid
  day and night, and at the week-ends too. "My young daughters don't
  understand why I am never at home," he says. "Thanks God, 'black
  economy' doesn't mean anything to them yet," he adds, removing his
  U.S Army" sunglasses.

  Black Economy Facts

  According to various estimates, the black economy equals 30% of
  Hungary's GDP (Gross Domestic Product) far above the average 3-5% in
  Western European countries. "Hungary is particularly affected because
  of its its geographical position," says Erno Kiss, head of the
  Economic Protection department of the National Police.

  A gateway between East and West, Hungary welcomes West European as
  well as citizens of former communist countries, without visas, making
  it susceptible to smuggling. Moreover, Hungary's common border with
  the rump Yugoslavia, with its recently lifted economic embargo, also
  encouraged smugglers.

  Economic researchers estimate 37% of black market activity is illegal
  trade. Economic monthly Cash Flow  reported that one out of every
  five packets of cigarettes sold in Hungary is contraband, while 65%
  of chickens are slaughtered in illegal slaughterhouses. The same
  article estimates 13% of goods sold in grocery shops is "black".

  According to Kiss, since the beginning of 1993, illegally imported
  diesel oil should have generated HUF 50-100 billion in taxes. "The
  black economy also infects sectors such as the processing industry,
  education and health care, the building industry, as well as hauling
  and catering", says Jozsef Bencze, head of a special commission
  established to battle the black economy.

  He doesn't want to differentiate black economy from the so-called
  "grey economy" or "white-collar crime". "It's all crime," he says. He
  mentions fraudulent accounting practices, illegal employment, false
  contracts signed by fictious firms, underreporting taxable income in
  legal businesses and other illegal practices.

  In 1994, police investigators uncovered HUF 40.5 billion in "white
  -collar" crime, up to HUF 35 billion in 1993.
  For Bencs, however, reinforced controls and raids are short-term
  solutions. For him, the best way to fight black ecnomy would be to
  "make the legal economy attractive".

                                                * * *
  Emannuelle Richard works for French Radio and regularly contributes
  to the Budapest Week

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  Parliament Watch

  Still waiting for that Media Bill

  By Tibor Vidos

  Once I promised myself that I would never write about the Media Bill
  again. Now that Dec. 28 has been set as the date for the bill to be
  passed, I may have to break my promise.
  The story started more than five years ago when, in the wake of the
  first free elections, the victorious Hungarian Democratic Forum (now
  one of the four opposition parties in Parliament) and the Alliance of
  Free Democrats (then one of the three opposition parties in
  Parliament) agreed on major changes to the Constitution. Since the
  two organizations commanded more than a two-thirds majority in
  Parliament, the others were not invited to the party.

  The goal then was to tailor the communist constitution to the needs
  of a functioning democracy. Both parties were aware that control of
  the electronic media -in more polite terms, the state-owned media's
  independence from the government of the day- was going to be crucial
  in shaping public opinion.
  Therefore a section in the paragraph 62 of the new-old Constitution
  declared that supervision of state-owned media (including the
  appointment of leaders, licensing of commercial media and prevention
  of media monopolies) should be regulated by a bill requiring a
  two-thirds majority to pass.

  This bill  -called the Media bill, in short- almost passed Parliament
  a few years later. In late 1992, lawmakers spent hours voting on
  amendments to the Media Bill, and by the time all of the changes were
  added, Parliament rejected the bill almost unanimously. All-party
  agreements, negotiated over the prior several months, broke down in
  the final hour, resulting in both government and opposition voting
  against the bill.

  The chances are good that things will work out differently in 1995,
  though I would still be hesitant to bet large sums of money that 1996
  will be the year when no Media Bill is debated in Parliament. The
  current six-party negotiations are proceeding with remarkable
  speed-meetings run over weekends and often last until the early
  morning hours -but Parliamentary procedure will still have to be
  suspended in order to reach the Dec. 28 target.

  According to the current bill draft, Hungarian Television (owned by a
  public trust fund and financed through subscription fees and state
  subsidies) will have one terrestrial and one satellite channel. The
  current second TV channel will be privatized, and a third terrestrial
  private channel will be established as well. All this is supposed to
  happen within a year of the law's passage.

  Antenna Hungaria, the state-owned broadcast monopoly, will maintain
  its exclusive contracts with public media until 2002.
  MPs and party specialists have spent most of their time debating the
  financial and legal structure of Hungarian Television and Radio.
  Commercial broadcasting and cable television were again neglected
  until the very last minute.
  Because the Media Bill limits one of the most basic constitutional
  rights, freedom of speech, it will certainly end up in the
  Constitutional Court if passed.
  And then we may witness the concept of "da capo al fine."

                                                * * *
  Tibor Vidos is a lobbyist and political consultant in charge of the
  Budapest office of GJW Government Relations. <vidos@ind.eunet.hu> or
  <CompuServe: 76702,2227> A version of this article appeared in the
  Budapest Business Journal.


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  MAGYAR NET WATCH

  Sorry, no Magyar Net Watch this week.


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  NOTE TO READERS

  What, no Hungary Report until January 8th? Yes, we are officially on
  holiday until 1996! (Some of us are visiting exotic locals such as
  Whitefish, Montana). In the meanwhile, we would like to wish all of
  our readers holiday cheer and thank you for all of your the feedback
  and support.
  Boldog Karacsonyt es boldog Uj Evet!

  =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D
  FINAL BLURB

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  directly to Steven Carlson <steve@isys.hu> (but please wait for at
  least a week, as we're also just famously late in getting the thing
  out sometimes : )

                                                * * *

  Back issues of The Hungary Report are available on the World-Wide Web
      http://www.isys.hu/hrep/

  and via FTP
      ftp://ftp.isys.hu/pub/hrep/

                                                * * *

  The entire contents of The Hungary Report are copyrighted by the
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                                                * * *

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  Feedback is welcome.

  Rick E. Bruner, Creator <74774.2442@compuserve.com>
  Steven Carlson, Publisher <steve@isys.hu>
  Jennifer C. Brown, Editor <jbrown@isys.hu>
  Tibor Vidos, Parliament Watch <vidos@ind.eunet.hu>
  Attila Beno, Magyar Net Watch <attila@isys.hu>

                                                * * *

  For its briefs, The Hungary Report regularly consults the news
  sources listed below -- for information about subscriptions, contact
  them by email:
  The Budapest Business Journal <100263.213@compuserve.com> &
  <http://www.eps.hu/bbj.html>
  Budapest Sun <100275.456@compuserve.com>
  Budapest Week <100324.141@compuserve.com>
  Central Europe Today (free online)
  <cet-info@eunet.cz>, as well as most Hungarian-language media (e-mail
  addresses to come).

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  END TRANSMISSION




